Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LINK prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.002994 0.003347 0.003716 0.004130 0.004579 0.005051 0.005585
2024-10-27 0.002429 0.002924 0.003470 0.004114 0.004850 0.005662 0.006620
2024-11-03 0.002057 0.002617 0.003262 0.004052 0.004988 0.006053 0.007351
2024-11-10 0.001806 0.002410 0.003130 0.004042 0.005153 0.006451 0.008072
2024-11-17 0.001594 0.002223 0.002996 0.004003 0.005263 0.006770 0.008690
2024-11-24 0.001480 0.002144 0.002983 0.004102 0.005533 0.007277 0.009537
2024-12-01 0.001300 0.001961 0.002821 0.003997 0.005534 0.007443 0.009961
2024-12-08 0.001184 0.001852 0.002744 0.003992 0.005654 0.007754 0.010565
2024-12-15 0.001137 0.001834 0.002786 0.004141 0.005974 0.008323 0.011504
2024-12-22 0.001065 0.001773 0.002762 0.004197 0.006170 0.008732 0.012243
2024-12-29 0.001020 0.001749 0.002786 0.004317 0.006451 0.009256 0.013140
2025-01-05 0.000985 0.001734 0.002822 0.004452 0.006754 0.009813 0.014088
2025-01-12 0.000876 0.001601 0.002680 0.004330 0.006704 0.009901 0.014426
2025-01-19 0.000804 0.001520 0.002611 0.004310 0.006791 0.010176 0.015020
2025-01-26 0.000729 0.001427 0.002517 0.004246 0.006812 0.010356 0.015483
2025-02-02 0.000673 0.001362 0.002461 0.004236 0.006905 0.010636 0.016085
2025-02-09 0.000616 0.001290 0.002389 0.004196 0.006953 0.010850 0.016598
2025-02-16 0.000594 0.001276 0.002410 0.004299 0.007212 0.011367 0.017541
2025-02-23 0.000531 0.001186 0.002299 0.004189 0.007149 0.011421 0.017831
2025-03-02 0.000494 0.001137 0.002256 0.004184 0.007241 0.011697 0.018439
2025-03-09 0.000487 0.001147 0.002311 0.004338 0.007581 0.012340 0.019579
2025-03-16 0.000464 0.001124 0.002307 0.004397 0.007773 0.012768 0.020417
2025-03-23 0.000454 0.001123 0.002343 0.004521 0.008070 0.013355 0.021493